STA3000F: Advanced Theory of Statistics
Wenlong Mou, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Fall 2024
Schedule
lecture | topic | references | notes |
09/06 | Probability recap, decision theory, admissibility, Bayes and minimax procedures | Larry Wasserman's notes, Bickel and Doksum 1.3; Keener 7.1, 7.2; Jon Wellner's notes (Section 1-6) | Lecture 1 |
09/13 | Decision theory continued, sufficiency and completeness, unbiased estimation | Bickel and Doksum 3.3, Keener 3.3, 3.5, 3.6, 4.1, Jon Wellner's notes | Lecture 2 |
09/20 | UMVU estimation continued, log-likelihood and Fisher information, Cramér–Rao lower bound and Van Trees inequality | Jon Wellner's notes, Keener 4.5, 4.6, Tsybakov 2.7.3 | Lecture 3 |
09/27 | Framework for testing, Neyman–Pearson lemma, UMP tests, Two-sided tests and UMPU, distance between probability measures, minimax testing | Keener Chapter 12 (except for 12.5), Tsybakov 2.4, Siva's notes | Lecture 4 |
10/04 | minimax testing lower bounds, basics of probablistic convergence, uniform law of large numbers and covering/packing | Siva's notes, van der Vaart 2.1, 2.2, 3.1, 3.3, 5.2, Peter's notes | Lecture 5 |
10/11 | Wald's consistency theorem, symmetrization and chaining, main empirical process bound | van der Vaart 5.2, van der Vaart and Wellner 2.3, 2.5, Bohdi's notes, Section 5 | Lecture 6 |
10/18 | VC (subgraph) dimension with application to empirical process theory, Sauer's lemma, fat-shattering dimension, main convergence rate theorem | van der Vaart and Wellner 2.6.1, 2.6.2, 3.2.2, Aditya's notes, Section 10, 11 | Lecture 7 |
10/25 | Examples of convergence rates, asymptotic distribution, stochastic equicontinuity and process convergence | van der Vaart Chapter 19, Aditya's notes, Section 21, 22, 23 | Lecture 8 |
11/08 | Bayesian posterior convergence, Schwartz's theorem, least-square estimator for nonparametric regression, covering number for Hölder classes | Chapter 7 of the monograph, van der Vaart and Wellner 2.7.1, Martin J. Wainwright high-dimensional statistics Chapter 13 | Lecture 9 |
11/15 | Convergence rates of least square estimators continued, projection estimator, kernel density estimation for Hölder and Sobolev classes, lack of asymptotic optimality | Tsybakov 1.2, 1.7, c.f. the paper for sub-optimality of constrained least squares | Lecture 10 |
11/22 | Lack of asymptotic optimality continued, local polynomial estimator, minimax lower bound for estimating the functional at one point | Tsybakov 1.5, 1.6, 2.5, Appendix A.1 | Lecture 11 |
11/29 | Basics of information theory, Fano's lemma, minimax lower bound for integrated risk, minimax adaptivity and Lepski's method for bandwidth selection | Tsybakov 2.6, 2.7.1, Yihong's notes, Chapter 13, 14, Cheng's notes on Lepski's method | Lecture 12
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